green fish in sea

Mathematics & statisticsPopulation modelling & epidemiology

The population modelling and epidemiology teaching and research group is made up from a wide range of expertise from statistics, informatics and image processing to dynamical systems and time series analysis.

The overarching theme of the group is the use of modelling techniques to extract information from complex data sets with an emphasis on practical problems.

Our current research

We're focusing on the epidemiology of infectious diseases, ecological complexity, marine and fisheries modelling, and mathematical cell biology.

Marine population modelling (MPM)

The MPM group has strong research links with Marine Scotland as well as collaborating in large multi-university projects and with empirical scientists in other institutes.

We use mathematical models to solve a variety of ecological and biological problems including:

  • fish stock management
  • nutrient impacts on ecosystem dynamics
  • linkage between individual behaviour and population dynamics
  • the effects of ocean currents on the productivity of copepods
  • the effect of multispecies interactions on complex marine ecosystems

Find out more about the work of the MPM group.

Mathematical biology

The mathematical biology research group works together with both the epidemiology and statistical informatics group and the marine population modelling group.

Our research interests are focused around the modelling of biological processes. In particular, the impact of spatial complexity and the dynamics of complex systems. Areas of current interest include:

  • antibiotic production in actinobacteria
  • evolutionary epidemiology
  • developmental cell signalling
  • cancer gene therapy
  • the modelling of communicable disease dynamics

Epidemiology & statistical informatics

Epidemiology is the study of the causes, transmission, incidence and prevalence of health and disease in a population.

Our research group has strong links with Health Protection Scotland (HPS) and the Veterinary Laboratory Agency (VLA). We work together with experts in epidemiology and related fields on a national and international level.

Research focuses on public health and the epidemiology of infectious diseases in both animals and humans. Research interests include:

  • spatial statistics
  • experimental design and image processing
  • stochastic and deterministic differential equations for the modelling of infectious diseases and risk, particularly in relation to animal diseases
Research projects
  • Implementing spatial models for air pollution in central Scotland to investigate the link between atmospheric sulphur dioxide and health problems
  • Modelling the epidemiology of measles, mumps and rubella to assess the spatial risk of the disease an potential effects of low MMR-vaccination uptake, providing key advice to the Chief Medical Officer in Scotland
  • Designing and setting up the national surveillance system for HPV infection to assess the impact of the HPV vaccine and using it to run epidemiological studies

Our researchers