Professor Gabriela Gomes

Mathematics and Statistics

Contact

Personal statement

Gabriela Gomes is an applied mathematician specialised in population dynamics. She obtained her PhD in Mathematics from the University of Warwick and, subsequently, switched to biology with a Wellcome Research Training Fellowship in Mathematical Biology. She established an independent research group at the Gulbenkian Science Institute, initially supported by a Marie Curie Excellence Grant, with projects ranging from fundamental mathematical concepts to management of population and ecosystem health, public engagement in science and development of research infrastructures. She also led research programmes at the University of Porto and the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, and held visiting positions in the USA and Brazil. Gabriela is now a Professor of Mathematics and Statistics at the University of Strathclyde, where she leads the Mathematics of Life Sciences (MoLS) and co-leads the Variation and Selection (VaS) research groups. She co-directs the Centre for Mathematics Applied to the Life Science (CMALS, a joint venture of Scotish universities), holds a Royal Society International Exchanges grant for collaboration with researchers in Melbourne, and is a Research Coordinator at the Centre for Mathematics and Applications (NOVA Math) at the NOVA University of Lisbon. She is a Fellow of the Institute of Mathematics and its Applications (FIMA).

Gabriela is broadly interested in how variation among individuals affects the dynamics of populations, whether this concerns demography, epidemiology, ecology or evolutionary biology. In collaboration with experimental and observational scientists, she studies microbial population dynamics and the spread of infectious diseases. She is also involved in research devoted to optimising study designs and policy decisions.

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Publications

Individual variation in susceptibility or exposure to SARS-CoV-2 lowers the herd immunity threshold
Gomes M Gabriela M, Ferreira Marcelo U, Corder Rodrigo M, King Jessica G, Souto-Maior Caetano, Penha-Gonçalves Carlos, Gonçalves Guilherme, Chikina Maria, Pegden Wesley, Aguas Ricardo
Journal of Theoretical Biology Vol 540 (2022)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111063
Herd immunity under individual variation and reinfection
Montalbán Antonio, Corder Rodrigo M, Gomes M Gabriela M
Journal of Mathematical Biology Vol 85 (2022)
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00285-022-01771-x
On the simultaneous inference of susceptibility distributions and intervention effects from epidemic curves
Mohammed Ibrahim, Robertson Chris, Gomes M Gabriela M
Epidemics Vol 55 (2026)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2026.100911
Uncertainty and inconsistency of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical intervention effects with multiple competitive statistical models
Müller Bernhard, Padberg Inken, Lorke Michael, Brinks Ralph, Cripps Sally, Gomes M Gabriela M, Haake Daniel, Ioannidis John P A
Scientific Reports Vol 16 (2026)
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-36265-z
M. Gabriela M. Gomes, Ibrahim Mohammed and Chris Robertson's contribution to the Discussion of ‘Some statistical aspects of the Covid-19 response’ by Wood et al
Gomes M Gabriela M, Mohammed Ibrahim, Robertson Chris
Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A Vol 189, pp. 43-45 (2026)
https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssa/qnaf104
A note on metapopulation models
Ayabina Diepreye, Sevil Hasan, Kleczkowski Adam, Gomes M Gabriela M
Journal of Theoretical Biology Vol 613 (2025)
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtbi.2025.112213

More publications

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Professional Activities

14th European Conference on Mathematical and Theoretical Biology
Participant
13/7/2026
Robust Sampling Time Design for Uncertain Dynamic Systems
Examiner
18/6/2026
Philip Gerrish
Host
2/5/2026
ReModeling Selection to overcome Selective Depletion Biases
Speaker
29/1/2026
ReModeling Selection to overcome Selective Depletion Biases
Speaker
10/12/2025
The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
Visiting researcher
1/12/2025

More professional activities

Projects

Individual variation and its consequences for population dynamics
Gomes, Gabriela (Principal Investigator) Kerr, Lyndsay (Academic) Chen, Bingzhang (Academic)
Workshop co-funded by Sir David Anderson Bequest (£3,200), Edinburgh Mathematical Society (£3,000) and Glasgow Mathematical Journal Trust (£1,500).
06-Jan-2026 - 07-Jan-2026
Understanding the bases and wide consequences of fitness variability
Gomes, Gabriela (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2025 - 31-Jan-2027
Variation and Selection
Gomes, Gabriela (Principal Investigator)
Funded by the University of Strathclyde to support development of an international collaboration.
23-Jan-2025 - 27-Jan-2025
Standing nonheritable variation in bacteria
Gomes, Gabriela (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2023 - 30-Jan-2026
Innovations to accelerate vaccine development and manufacture
Gomes, Gabriela (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2021 - 29-Jan-2028

More projects

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Contact

Professor Gabriela Gomes
Mathematics and Statistics

Email: gabriela.gomes@strath.ac.uk
Tel: 548 3804