Publications

Strategic Foresight in Fintech : Harnessing Scenario Planning for Future Readiness

Van Rooyen Pavlina, Tapinos Efstathios, Revie Matthew

Financial Regulation Innovation Lab White Paper Series Financial Regulation Innovation Lab White Paper Series (2025)

Global Entrepreneurship Monitor : Scotland 2023-24 Report

Mwaura Samuel, Sahasranamam Sreevas, Tapinos Efstathios, Hart Mark, Prashar Neha, Ri Anastasia

(2024)

Perceived environmental turbulence and corporate strategy : the case of the UK recession

Tapinos Efstathios, Leask Graham, Brown Mike

Futures & Foresight Science Vol 5 (2023)

https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.154

Sensemaking and SubjectiveTime: : The role of mental time travel’s functions in prospective sensemaking

Naveed Syed Hassan, Tapinos Efstathios, Makhmadshoev Dilshod, Fernández-Méndez Laura

Academy of Management Proceedings Vol 2023 (2023)

https://doi.org/10.5465/AMPROC.2023.12695abstract

Managing business model innovation uncertainties in 5G technology : a future‐oriented sensemaking perspective

Moqaddamerad Sara, Tapinos Efstathios

R&D Management Vol 53, pp. 244-259 (2023)

https://doi.org/10.1111/radm.12559

The impact of scenario planning on entrepreneurial orientation

Bouhalleb Arafet, Tapinos Efstathios

Technological Forecasting and Social Change Vol 187 (2023)

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2022.122191

More publications

Research Interests

Strategy Process; Foresight; Perceived Uncertainty; Scenario Planning; Strategy Tools; Prospective Sensemaking; Business Modelling

Professional Activities

Strategic Themes - EPSRC (Critical Mass) - Sustainable & Circular Materials & Manufacturing

Participant

11/2/2025

Strategic Themes - EPSRC (Critical Mass) - IES Workshop

Participant

7/2/2025

Strategic Themes: EPSRC Critical Mass Programmes to Drive a Sustainable Future

Participant

30/1/2025

More professional activities

Projects

Design HOPES (Healthy Organisations in a Place-based Ecosystem, Scotland)

Rodgers, Paul (Principal Investigator) Dixon, James (Co-investigator) Dragojlovic-Oliveira, Sonja (Co-investigator) Galloway, Stuart (Co-investigator) Inns, Tom (Co-investigator) Tapinos, Efstathios (Co-investigator) Wodehouse, Andrew (Co-investigator) Wright, George (Co-investigator)

Climate change is the biggest global health threat of the 21st century. The more we ignore the climate emergency the bigger the impact will be on health and the need for care with poor environmental health contributing to major diseases, including cardiac problems, asthma and cancer. Many of the actions to mitigate and adapt to climate change and improve environmental sustainability also have positive health benefits; the Lancet Commission has described tackling climate change as "the greatest global health opportunity of the 21st century". The challenges faced present an incredible opportunity to do things differently - to take a design-led approach in designing and making through high-reward demonstrator projects to help transform the health ecosystem. Through wider public engagement we aim to advance societal understanding of design's impact, and the opportunities, barriers, behaviour changes and tools needed to transition to a green approach. This research will unite a wide range of disciplines, research organisations, regional and local industry, and other public sector stakeholders, with policy-makers. The Design HOPES Green Transition Ecosystem (GTE) Hub will sustain a phased long-term investment to embed design-led innovation, circularity, sustainability and impact for the changing market, across product, service, strategy, policy and social drivers to evolve future design outcomes that matter to the people and planet. Our research is organised around seven core Thematic Workstreams, based on the NHS Scotland Climate Emergency and Sustainability Strategy (2022-2026). Design HOPES will be delivered and managed by interdisciplinary teams with significant expertise in design and making, co-creation, health and social care, with professionals with a sustainability remit, and businesses working in the design economy. Design HOPES encompasses a rich disciplinary mix of knowledge, skills, and expertise from a range of design disciplines (i.e., product, textile, interaction, games, architecture etc.) and other disciplines (computer science, health and wellbeing, geography, engineering, etc.) that will be focused on people and planet (including all living things), from the micro to macro, from root cause to hopeful vision, from the present to the future, and from the personal to the wider system. Design HOPES will design and make things and test them to see how they work, which will help more ideas and things emerge. The Hub will be an inclusive, safe, collaborative space that will bring in multiple and marginalised perspectives and view its projects as one part of a wider movement for transformational change whilst not overlooking existing assets and how we can re-use, nurture and develop these sustainably. Design HOPES aims to be an internationally recognised centre of excellence, promoting and embedding best practice through our collaborative design-led thinking and making approaches to build a more equitable and sustainable health and social care system. We will create new opportunities to support both existing services and new design-led health innovations in collaboration with NHS Boards across Scotland, the Scottish Government, patient and public representatives, health and social care partners, the third sector, academia and industry. Our seven Thematic Workstreams and associated projects will deliver a rich mix of tangible outcomes such as new innovative products, services, and policies (e.g., sustainable theatre consumables, packaging, clothing, waste services, etc.) during the funded period. With award-winning commercialisation and entrepreneurial support from the collaborating universities, we will also look to create new "green' enterprises and businesses. We will achieve this internationally recognised centre of excellence using design-led thinking and making to build a more equitable and sustainable health and social care system.

01-Jan-2023 - 30-Jan-2025

Technology Innovation in Defence-platform Energy-efficiency

Turan, Osman (Principal Investigator) Aktas, Batuhan (Co-investigator) Atlar, Mehmet (Co-investigator) Barlow, Euan (Co-investigator) Boulougouris, Evangelos (Co-investigator) Jennett, Kyle (Co-investigator) Paton, Steve (Co-investigator) Revie, Matthew (Co-investigator) Seth, Sampan (Co-investigator) Tapinos, Efstathios (Co-investigator) Theotokatos, Gerasimos (Co-investigator) Walls, Lesley (Co-investigator) Wright, George (Co-investigator)

01-Jan-2023 - 30-Jan-2026

Horizon Scanning workshop with SSE

Tapinos, Efstathios (Co-investigator)

01-Jan-2023 - 31-Jan-2028

ESRC IAA 2023 / R220785-150

Tapinos, Efstathios (Co-investigator)

01-Jan-2023 - 31-Jan-2028

Care & Equity - Logistics UAS Scotland Phase 3 (CAELUS 2) (Future Flight Challenge)

Fossati, Marco (Principal Investigator) Akartunali, Kerem (Co-investigator) Cashmore, Michael (Co-investigator) Irvine, James (Co-investigator) MacBryde, Jillian (Co-investigator) Maddock, Christie (Co-investigator) Patelli, Edoardo (Co-investigator) Tapinos, Efstathios (Co-investigator) Vasile, Massimiliano (Co-investigator)

01-Jan-2022 - 31-Jan-2024

HYPOBATT Hyper powered vessel battery charging system (Horizon Europe)

Walls, Lesley (Principal Investigator) Revie, Matthew (Co-investigator) Tapinos, Efstathios (Co-investigator)

01-Jan-2022 - 30-Jan-2025

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