Professor Tim Bedford


Associate Principal

Management Science


Personal statement

Professor Bedford leads the Research and Innovation portfolio in the University Executive Team, working in close collaboration with the Principal and Deputy Associate Principals Professors Lowit, Kerr and McArthur.

Professor Bedford has two roles at the University: He leads the Research and Innovation portfolio within the university, with a particular focus on the Innovation aspects, working closely with other senior colleagues each of whom has specific responsibilities within R&I; He is also Professor of Decision and Risk Analysis within the Management Science Department of the Business School.

Key responsibilities within the Associate Principal role are: representing the R&I interests of the University in discussions with Government and other public bodies such as research and innovation funders; convening the University Research and Knowledge Exchange Committee and, with colleagues, developing university strategy in research and innovation; providing leadership to cross-faculty initiatives such as the Technology and Innovation Centre and the University Strategic Themes; engaging with external university research partners in business and government; supporting the Principal as President of the Association of European  Universities of Science and Technology, CESAER, and, convening the University Enterprise Forum. He led the development of the University Strategy for Innovation, and is currently playing a key role in the leadership of the Glasgow City Innovation District. 

Professor Bedford is currently a member of the Scottish Funding Council Research and Knowledge Exchange Committee. He is a Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh and a member of its Business Innovation Forum. In 2016 he was on the advisory board of the Reid Review of Scottish Innovation Centres.

In his role as Professor of Decision and Risk Analysis, Professor Bedford continues to teach, supervise PhDs and conduct research in probabilistic risk analysis, uncertainty modelling, reliability and maintenance modelling, structured expert judgement and decision analysis.

He studied mathematics at Warwick University where he obtained BSc, M.Sc. and Ph.D. degrees. He holds an Honorary Doctorate in recognition of his work in risk analysis, from the Faculté Polytechnique de Mons, and has been elected a Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh, Scotland’s National Academy. He held a fellowship at King's College Cambridge where he was a member of the King's College Research Centre project on Chaotic Dynamics. He then took a lectureship in applied probability at Delft University of Technology in the Netherlands, and later became Senior Lecturer in Applications of Decision Theory in the same department.

Prof Bedford has been active in various professional societies, amongst others the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Dutch Reliability Society, of which he was Chair. He has been Chair of the Committee of Professors of Operational Research, the network of UK OR Professors and was a member of the Board of Directors of the European Safety Reliability and Data Association ESReDA. He has been elected a Fellow of the UK Safety and Reliability Society and of the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications. He was a member of the EPSRC Mathematics Programme Strategic Advisory Panel. He has carried out research and consultancy projects for a range of companies including Aveco, ESTEC, MoD, DSTL, Railway Safety, Magnox, Netherlands Ministry for Water Management, Philips, Scottish Power, SSE. He was awarded the Donald Julius Groen prize for 2009 by the IMechE Safety and Reliability Group, and in 2013 was awarded the Lloyds Risk Prize for work on Societal Risk. He was co-chair of the EURO2015 Conference - the major European conference on Operational Research in 2015, and also co-chair of the ESREL2016 Conference – the major European conference on Safety and Reliability.

Tim Bedford says:

“Collaboration with external partners is a major theme for both of my roles. My research into risk analysis tries to combine fundamental theoretical advances - particularly around probability and consequence modelling - with applications to real-life problems. Fortunately in the area of risk management and analysis these two elements go together very well. There are lots of interesting theoretical problems that arise from trying to make sense of practical issues! I am an active researcher involved in several different research projects, and helping the academic and practitioner community through consulting, conference organisation and more. With my colleagues in the Risk Consortium here at Strathclyde I do a lot of work with companies that have live problems in need of fresh approaches.

I have been very lucky in my career to get the opportunity to develop into new fields of expertise. I started out as a pure mathematician working on fractals, and was fortunate to work for Benoit Mandelbrot. I have always been interested in potential applications though, and now have lots of opportunities for this! In my spare time I play trombone with the University Big Band. My great ambition, which will certainly remain unfulfilled, is to play like Frank Rosolino, J.J. Johnson or Curtis Fuller.”

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Area of Expertise

  • Risk modelling
  • Probability modelling
  • Expert Judgement
  • Dependency modelling
  • Reliability analysis
  • Asset management
  • Dependency and correlation modelling
  • Problem structuring 
  • Bayesian networks

Prize And Awards

Scottish Knowledge Exchange Awards: Multi–Party Collaboration Award
Lloyds Science of Risk prize for best paper in Societal and Geopolitical Risks
Fellow of the Royal Society of Edinburgh
Fellow of the Institute for Mathematics and its Applications
Fellow of the Safety and Reliability Society

More prizes and awards

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Optimal preventive maintenance strategy for populations of systems that generate outputs
Finkelstein Maxim, Cha Ji Hwan, Bedford Tim
Reliability Engineering and System Safety Vol 237 (2023)
Remaining lifetime of degrading systems continuously monitored by degrading sensors
Mukhopadhyay Koushiki, Liu Bin, Bedford Tim, Finkelstein Maxim
Reliability Engineering and System Safety Vol 231 (2023)
Remaining lifetime of degrading systems continuously monitored by degrading sensors
Mukhopadhyay Koushiki, Liu Bin, Bedford Tim, Finkelstein Maxim
European Conference on Safety and Reliability 2022, pp. 45-46 (2022)
Modelling epistemic uncertainty in offshore wind farm production capacity to reduce risk
Zitrou Athena, Bedford Tim, Walls Lesley
Risk Analysis Vol 42, pp. 1524-1540 (2022)
Risk assessment of future antibiotic resistance - eliciting and modelling probabilistic dependencies between multivariate uncertainties of bug-drug combinations
Werner Christoph, Colson Abigail, Morton Alec, Bedford Tim
Frontiers in Applied Mathematics and Statistics: Mathematics of Computation and Data Science Vol 7 (2021)
A performance-centred approach to optimising maintenance of complex systems
Barlow E, Bedford T, Revie M, Tan J, Walls L
European Journal of Operational Research Vol 292, pp. 579-595 (2021)

More publications

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Professional Activities

R&KE Environment Session
IAA & Strategic Themes Information Session
Structured Expert Judgment to estimate the probability of a major power system unreliability event
European Journal of Operational Research (Journal)
Guest editor
International Early Stage Researcher Training School on Applying Expert Judgement Methodologies to Real Problems (COST Action IS1304)
Invited speaker
International Early Stage Researcher Training School on Applying Expert Judgement Methodologies to Real Problems

More professional activities


Bedford, Tim (Principal Investigator) Rivers, Ian (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2023 - 31-Jan-2028
EPSRC Impact Acceleration Account - University of Strathclyde 2022
Bedford, Tim (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2022 - 31-Jan-2025
Credible routes to GB electricity system collapse and the impact of new demand (Supergen FlexiFund)
Colson, Abigail (Principal Investigator) Bedford, Tim (Co-investigator) Bell, Keith (Co-investigator)
10-Jan-2021 - 19-Jan-2022
Strathclyde COVID-19 Research Portfolio: Novel testing, digital health support and third sector collaboration for impact on social care
Bedford, Tim (Principal Investigator) Corrigan, Damion (Co-investigator) Dunlop, Mark (Co-investigator) Egan, Kieren (Co-investigator) Fleming, Leanne (Co-investigator) Flowers, Paul (Co-investigator) Grealy, Madeleine (Co-investigator) Hoskisson, Paul (Co-investigator) Hunter, Iain (Co-investigator) Janssen, Xanne (Co-investigator) Kirk, Alison (Co-investigator) Knifton, Lee (Co-investigator) Lenhart, Otto (Co-investigator) Maguire, Roma (Co-investigator) Morton, Alec (Co-investigator) Quinn, Neil (Co-investigator) Scott, Fraser (Co-investigator) Suckling, Colin (Co-investigator) Ward, Andrew (Co-investigator) Williams, Lynn (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2020 - 16-Jan-2021
NPIF EPSRC CDT 2018 equipment funding for University of Strathclyde
Bedford, Tim (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2020 - 30-Jan-2020
Towards Game-changer Service Operation Vessels for Offshore Windfarms (NEXUS) H2020-BG-2016-2017
Vassalos, Dracos (Principal Investigator) Bedford, Tim (Co-investigator) Boulougouris, Evangelos (Co-investigator) Bujorianu, Luminita (Co-investigator) Lazakis, Iraklis (Co-investigator) McMillan, David (Co-investigator) Puisa, Romanas (Co-investigator) Quigley, John (Co-investigator) Revie, Matthew (Co-investigator) Theotokatos, Gerasimos (Co-investigator) Walls, Lesley (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2017 - 30-Jan-2021

More projects

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Professor Tim Bedford
Associate Principal
Management Science

Tel: 548 5982/3615