
Dr Ian Belton
Lecturer
Management Science
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Publications
- Effects of task structure and confirmation bias in alternative hypotheses evaluation
- Dhami Mandeep K, Belton Ian K, De Werd Peter, Hadzhieva Velichka, Wicke Lars
- Cognitive Research: Principles and Implications Vol 9 (2024)
- https://doi.org/10.1186/s41235-024-00560-y
- The role of character-based personal mitigation in sentencing judgments
- Belton Ian K, Dhami Mandeep K
- Journal of Empirical Legal Studies Vol 21, pp. 208-239 (2024)
- https://doi.org/10.1111/jels.12376
- The Nunavut-Nunavik Search and Rescue project (NSAR) : enhancing SAR operations in Arctic Canada
- Belton Ian, Quigley John
- Arctic Science Summit Week (2024)
- Virtuous opinion change in structured groups
- Bolger Fergus, Rowe Gene, Hamlin Iain, Belton Ian, Crawford Megan, Sissons Aileen, Taylor Browne Lūka Courtney, Vasilichi Alexandrina, Wright George
- Judgment and Decision Making Vol 18 (2023)
- https://doi.org/10.1017/jdm.2023.22
- The value of experiments in futures and foresight science : a reply
- Derbyshire James, Dhami Mandeep K, Belton Ian, Önkal Dilek
- Futures & Foresight Science Vol 5 (2023)
- https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.156
- Maritime search and rescue in Nunavut, Canada : strengthening the system from the bottom up
- Kikkert Peter, Belton Ian, Pedersen Calvin, Lackenbauer P Whitney, Pelot Ron, Quigley John
- World Maritime Rescue Congress (WMRC) 2023, pp. PP.12 (2023)
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Professional Activities
- "Human Digital Twin for Enhancing Occupational Health and Safety"
- Organiser
- 24/6/2024
- StrathWide 2024: The University of Strathclyde Researcher conference
- Chair
- 23/4/2024
- StrathWide 2023: The University of Strathclyde Researcher conference
- Chair
- 28/4/2023
Projects
- Bayesian ARgumentation via Delphi
- Belton, Ian (Co-investigator) Bolger, Fergus (Principal Investigator) Crawford, Megan Michelle (Co-investigator) Hamlin, Iain (Co-investigator) MacDonald, Alice (Co-investigator) Rowe, Gene (Principal Investigator) Sissons, Aileen (Co-investigator) Taylor Browne Lūka, Courtney (Co-investigator) Vasilichi, Alexandrina (Co-investigator) Wright, George (Principal Investigator)
- BARD was a 23-month project funded by the US Government Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) and formed part of the larger Crowdsourcing Evidence, Argumentation, Thinking and Evaluation – “CREATE” – program. In BARD, we designed and produced Graphical User Interfaces (GUIs) to assist in the construction of Causal Bayesian Networks (CBNs) as the underlying engines for the analysis of arguments and evidence. BARD thus allows analysts to build and test competing or complementary arguments, and to examine the impact of different pieces of evidence, in an intuitive environment. BARD makes use of the Delphi technique – an iterative survey method that minimizes negative effects of cognitive and social biases – to manage the interaction between users.
In addition to the Delphi Team based in Strathclyde, BARD also consisted of teams based in London (UCL and Birkbeck) – who are experts on the psychology of causal reasoning – and in Melbourne, Australia (Monash University) – who are expert in CBNs and software engineering.
IARPA - https://www.iarpa.gov/
CREATE - https://www.iarpa.gov/index.php/research-programs/create - 01-Jan-2017 - 30-Jan-2018