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Dr Louise Kelly

Senior Lecturer

Mathematics and Statistics

Personal statement

I graduated from the University of Strathclyde in 1992 with BSc (Hons) degree in Mathematical Sciences. I then went on to do a PhD at Strathclyde, in Mathematics and Statistics. I was awarded my PhD in 1996 and my thesis was entitled: Listeria monocytogenes in Silage: A mathematical modelling approach. Following my PhD, I started my career as a Risk Assessor with the Veterinary Laboratories Agency (VLA). The VLA was an Executive Agency of the Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) in the United Kingdom Government. It is now named the Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA). I am still employed with APHA on a part-time basis. During my time at VLA/APHA I have developed and managed many veterinary and public health risk assessment and mathematical modelling projects relating to, for example, bovine tuberculosis, bovine brucellosis, foot and mouth diseease, bluetongue, camplyobacter, salmonella and rabies. I have worked as an expert for the World Health Organisation, The food and Agricultural Organisation of the United Nations, the European Food Safety Authority  and European Animal Health Office. I have also run numerous risk assessment courses in, for example, the United States, China, Thailand and Europe.


In 2001, I returned to the University of Strathclyde as a Lecturer in Statistics whilst maintaining my research links with VLA/APHA through a joint appointment. My research continues to focus on animal and veterinary public health epidemiology and risk assessment. My current interests are in the areas of exotic disease introduction and anthelmintic resistance.


A generic framework for spatial quantitative risk assessments of infectious diseases : lumpy skin disease case study
Taylor Rachel A., Berriman Alexander DC , Gale Paul, Kelly Louise A., Snary Emma L.
Transboundary and Emerging Diseases, (2018)
Estimating the impact on food and edible materials of changing scrapie control measures : the Scrapie Control Model
Adkin Amie, Horigan Verity, Rajanayagam Brenda, Arnold Mark, Konold Timm, Spiropoulos John, Kelly Louise
Preventive Veterinary Medicine, pp. 1-54, (2018)
Assessing the probability of introduction and transmission of lumpy skin disease virus within the United Kingdom
Horigan V., Beard P.M., Roberts H., Adkin A., Gale P., Batten C.A., Kelly L.
Microbial Risk Analysis, (2018)
Assessing the risk of rabies re-introduction into the United Kingdom from Eastern European countries
Berriman A.D.C. , Fooks A.R., Kelly L.A., Snary E.L.
Microbial Risk Analysis Vol 8, pp. 50-52, (2018)
Qualitative import risk assessment : a proposed method for estimating the aggregated probability of entry of infection
Kelly L., Kosmider R., Gale P., Snary E. L.
Microbial Risk Analysis, (2018)
Investigating anthelmintic efficacy against gastrointestinal nematodes in cattle by considering appropriate probability distributions for faecal egg count data
Love J. W., Kelly L. A., Lester H. E., Nanjiani I. , Taylor M. A., Robertson C.
International Journal for Parasitology: Drugs and Drug Resistance Vol 7, pp. 71-82, (2017)

more publications

Professional activities

Infectious Diseases Workshops – Raising Attainment in Numeracy, STEM Outreach

more professional activities


EPSRC Doctoral Training Grant - DTA, University of Strathclyde | Love, Johnathan
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator) Robertson, Charles (Co-investigator) Love, Johnathan (Research Co-investigator)
Period 01-Aug-2014 - 01-Feb-2018
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator) Speirs, Douglas (Co-investigator)
Period 01-Oct-2012 - 07-Jan-2016
Doctoral Training Grant 2010 | Ross, David
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator) Young, David (Co-investigator)
Period 01-Oct-2010 - 25-Nov-2016
Experimental design for the study of anthelmintic resistance in UK cattle populations
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
Period 30-Nov-2014 - 31-Mar-2018
Collaborative Training Account / RA4126
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
Period 01-Jul-2007 - 30-Sep-2012
Data Mining for Exotic Pathogen Spread - DTA PhD with VLA
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
Period 01-Oct-2010 - 31-Mar-2014

more projects


Mathematics and Statistics
Livingstone Tower

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