Dr Louise Kelly

Senior Lecturer

Mathematics and Statistics

Personal statement

I graduated from the University of Strathclyde in 1992 with BSc (Hons) degree in Mathematical Sciences. I then went on to do a PhD at Strathclyde, in Mathematics and Statistics. I was awarded my PhD in 1996 and my thesis was entitled: Listeria monocytogenes in Silage: A mathematical modelling approach. Following my PhD, I started my career as a Risk Assessor with the Veterinary Laboratories Agency (VLA). The VLA was an Executive Agency of the Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) in the United Kingdom Government. It is now named the Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA). I am still employed with APHA on a part-time basis. During my time at VLA/APHA I have developed and managed many veterinary and public health risk assessment and mathematical modelling projects relating to, for example, bovine tuberculosis, bovine brucellosis, foot and mouth diseease, bluetongue, camplyobacter, salmonella and rabies. I have worked as an expert for the World Health Organisation, The food and Agricultural Organisation of the United Nations, the European Food Safety Authority  and European Animal Health Office. I have also run numerous risk assessment courses in, for example, the United States, China, Thailand and Europe.


In 2001, I returned to the University of Strathclyde as a Lecturer in Statistics whilst maintaining my research links with VLA/APHA through a joint appointment. My research continues to mainly focus on animal and veterinary public health epidemiology and risk assessment although I am now also involved in research into Widening Access into Higher Education, particularly relating to school entry requirements.


A farm transmission model for Salmonella in pigs, applicable to EU members states
Hill Andrew A, Simmons Robin R L, Kelly Louise, Snary Emma L
Risk Analysis Vol 36, pp. 461-481 (2016)
A transport and lairage model for Salmonella transmission between pigs, applicable to EU member states
Simmons R R L, Hill A A, Swart A, Kelly L, Snary E L
Risk Analysis Vol 36, pp. 482-497 (2016)
Qualitative assessment of the entry of capripoxviruses into Great Britain from the European Union through importation of ruminant hides, skins and wool
Gale P, Kelly L, Snary EL
Microbial Risk Analysis Vol 1, pp. 13-18 (2016)
Assessing the effectiveness of on-farm and abattoir interventions in reducing pig-meat borne Salmonellosis within EU member states
Hill Andrew A, Simons Robin L, Swart Arno N, Kelly Louise, Hald Tine, Snary Emma L
Risk Analysis Vol 36, pp. 545-560 (2016)
Assessing the impact of a cattle risk-based trading scheme on the movement of bovine tuberculosis infected animals in England and Wales
Adkin A, Brouwer A, Downs S H, Kelly L
Preventive Veterinary Medicine (2015)
Modelling the species jump : towards assessing the risk of human infection from novel avian influenzas
Hill A A, Drewe T, Kosmider R, Von Dobschuetz S, Munoz O, Hanna A, Fusaro A, De Nardi M, Howard W, Stevens K, Kelly L, Havelaar A, Stark K
Royal Society Open Science (2015)

more publications

Professional activities

Upskilling: Statistics for Mathematics Teachers (MM131: Autumn 2020)
Upskilling: Statistics for NHS Staff (MM129: Autumn 2020)
Upskilling: Statistics for NHS Staff (MM128: Summer 2020)
Upskilling: Statistics for Mathematics Teachers (MM130: Summer 2020)
Upskilling: Statistics for Senior Phase (MM137)
Upskilling: Statistics for NHS Staff (MM127: Spring 2020)

more professional activities


Experimental design for the study of anthelmintic resistance in UK cattle populations
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
30-Jan-2014 - 31-Jan-2018
EPSRC Doctoral Training Grant - DTA, University of Strathclyde | Love, Johnathan
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator) Robertson, Chris (Co-investigator) Love, Johnathan (Research Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2014 - 01-Jan-2018
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator) Speirs, Douglas (Co-investigator) Gardiner, Ian (Research Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2012 - 07-Jan-2016
Data Mining for Exotic Pathogen Spread - DTA PhD with VLA
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2010 - 31-Jan-2014
Doctoral Training Grant 2010 | Ross, David
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator) Young, David (Co-investigator) Ross, David (Research Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2010 - 25-Jan-2016
Collaborative Training Account / RA4126
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2007 - 30-Jan-2012

more projects


Mathematics and Statistics
Livingstone Tower

Location Map

View University of Strathclyde in a larger map