Dr Louise Kelly

Senior Teaching Fellow

Mathematics and Statistics


Personal statement

I graduated from the University of Strathclyde in 1992 with BSc (Hons) degree in Mathematical Sciences. I then went on to do a PhD at Strathclyde, in Mathematics and Statistics. I was awarded my PhD in 1996 and my thesis was entitled: Listeria monocytogenes in Silage: A mathematical modelling approach. Following my PhD, I started my career as a Risk Assessor with the Veterinary Laboratories Agency (VLA). The VLA was an Executive Agency of the Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) in the United Kingdom Government. It is now named the Animal and Plant Health Agency (APHA). I am still employed with APHA on a part-time basis. During my time at VLA/APHA I have developed and managed many veterinary and public health risk assessment and mathematical modelling projects relating to, for example, bovine tuberculosis, bovine brucellosis, foot and mouth diseease, bluetongue, camplyobacter, salmonella and rabies. I have worked as an expert for the World Health Organisation, The food and Agricultural Organisation of the United Nations, the European Food Safety Authority  and European Animal Health Office. I have also run numerous risk assessment courses in, for example, the United States, China, Thailand and Europe.


In 2001, I returned to the University of Strathclyde as a Lecturer in Statistics whilst maintaining my research links with VLA/APHA through a joint appointment. My research continues to mainly focus on animal and veterinary public health epidemiology and risk assessment although I am now also involved in research into Widening Access into Higher Education, particularly relating to school entry requirements.

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A review of qualitative risk assessment in animal health : suggestions for best practice
Horigan Verity, Simons Robin, Kavanagh Kim, Kelly Louise
Frontiers in Veterinary Science Vol 10 (2023)
Trends in socioeconomic inequalities in underweight and obesity in 5-year-old children, 2011–2018 : a population-based, repeated cross-sectional study
Stewart Ryan, Reilly John J, Hughes Adrienne, Kelly Louise A, Conway David I, Young David, Sherriff Andrea
BMJ Open Vol 11 (2021)
Assessing the aggregated probability of entry of a novel prion disease agent into the United Kingdom
Horigan Verity, Gale Paul, Adkin Amie, Konold Timm, Cassar Claire, Spiropoulos John, Kelly Louise
Microbial Risk Analysis Vol 16 (2020)
Quantitative assessment of the probability of introducing bovine brucellosis into English cattle herds by imported live cattle
Foddai Alessandro, Kelly Louise, McGiven John, Grace Katherine, Evans Sarah
Microbial Risk Analysis Vol 16 (2020)
An improved methodology for estimating the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2
Patel Virag, McCarthy Catherine, Taylor Rachel A, Moir Ruth, Kelly Louise A, Snary Emma L
Risk assessment for recrudescence of avian influenza in caged layer houses following depopulation : the effect of cleansing, disinfection and dismantling of equipment
Gale P, Sechi S, Horigan V, Taylor R, Brown I, Kelly L
Animal Vol 14, pp. 1536-1545 (2020)

More publications

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Professional Activities

Overseas Development Agency Online Risk Assessment Course
Higher Applications of Mathematics
Royal Veterinary College, England
Visiting researcher
Upskilling: Statistics for Mathematics Teachers (MM130: Summer 2021)
Upskilling: Statistics for NHS Staff (MM128: Summer 2021)
Upskilling: Statistics for NHS Staff (MM127: Spring 2021)

More professional activities


TBMI Development and Maintenance
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
Fundig for 0.4 FTE of staff member who recently moved from Edinburgh University
20-Jan-2021 - 02-Jan-2022
Thermal death model for hepatitis E virus (HEV)
Barry, Sarah (Principal Investigator) Kelly, Louise (Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2019 - 31-Jan-2021
Experimental design for the study of anthelmintic resistance in UK cattle populations
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
30-Jan-2014 - 31-Jan-2018
EPSRC Doctoral Training Grant - DTA, University of Strathclyde | Love, Johnathan
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator) Robertson, Chris (Co-investigator) Love, Johnathan (Research Co-investigator)
01-Jan-2014 - 01-Jan-2018
Data Mining for Exotic Pathogen Spread - DTA PhD with VLA
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2010 - 31-Jan-2014
Collaborative Training Account / RA4126
Kelly, Louise (Principal Investigator)
01-Jan-2007 - 30-Jan-2012

More projects

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Dr Louise Kelly
Senior Teaching Fellow
Mathematics and Statistics

Email: louise.kelly@strath.ac.uk
Tel: 548 3659

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