Professor Gary Koop
Economics
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Area of Expertise
Bayesian time series econometrics
Bayesian shrinkage methods for macroeconomics in data-rich environments
Bayesian methods for macroeconomic forecasting with Big Data
Prize And Awards
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Publications
- Measuring subregional economic activity : missing frequencies and missing data
 - Koop Gary, McIntyre Stuart, Mitchell James, Poon Aubrey, Wu Ping
 - Recent Developments in Bayesian Econometrics and Their Applications Festschrift in Honour of Sune Karlsson (2025) (2025)
 - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-00110-8_4
 - Reflections on the Teaching of Bayesian Econometrics
 - Koop Gary
 - Teaching Econometrics - A Tribute to R. Carter Hill (2025) (2025)
 - Fast, order-invariant Bayesian inference in VARs using the eigendecomposition of the error covariance matrix
 - Wu Ping, Koop Gary
 - Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (2025)
 - https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2025.2560369
 - Predictive density combination using Bayesian machine learning
 - Chernis Tony, Hauzenberger Niko, Huber Florian, Koop Gary, Mitchell James
 - International Economic Review Vol 66, pp. 1287-1315 (2025)
 - https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12759
 - Investigating economic uncertainty using stochastic volatility in mean VARs : the importance of model size, order-invariance and classification
 - Davidson Sharada Nia, Hou Chenghan, Koop Gary
 - Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, pp. 1-16 (2025)
 - https://doi.org/10.1080/07350015.2025.2455064
 - Macroeconomic forecasting using BVARs
 - Hauzenberger Niko, Huber Florian, Koop Gary
 - Handbook of Research Methods and Applications on Macroeconomic Forecasting (2024) (2024)
 
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Professional Activities
- Workshop on Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting for Policy and Practice
 - Organiser
 - 28/11/2024
 - International Association of Applied Econometrics
 - Member of programme committee
 - 2023
 - ESCoE Conference on Economic Measurement
 - Speaker
 - 2023
 - Computational Finance and Econometrics Annual Conference
 - Member of programme committee
 - 2022
 - Royal Economic Society Conference
 - Member of programme committee
 - 2022
 - Computational Finance and Econometrics Annual Conference (CFE2021)
 - Participant
 - 18/12/2021
 
Projects
- Student Excellence Award - Policymaking in Times of Tension: Modelling the Evolving Transmission of Geopolitical Risk Across Sectors and Countries
 - Davidson, Sharada Nia (Principal Investigator) Wu, Ping (Co-investigator) Koop, Gary (Co-investigator)
 - Student Excellence Award: £90,000
 - 01-Jan-2025 - 30-Jan-2028
 - Central Banks' Inflation Gamble: Good Luck versus Good Models
 - Hauzenberger, Niko (Principal Investigator) Koop, Gary (Co-investigator) McIntyre, Stuart (Co-investigator)
 - 2025 Research Excellence Award (REA) under the Strathclyde Research Studentship Scheme (SRSS): £134,525
 - 01-Jan-2025 - 30-Jan-2028
 - ESRC/SGSSS Advanced Quantitative Methods (AQM) Supervisor-Led Studentship Competition: £120,000
 - Davidson, Sharada Nia (Principal Investigator) Wu, Ping (Co-investigator) Koop, Gary (Co-investigator) Zhang, Zhoulihua (Researcher)
 - Missing but not Forgotten: Modelling New Developments in the Global Economy Using Data with Missing Values
 - 01-Jan-2024 - 30-Jan-2028
 - Transforming Forecasting Capacity in Government
 - McIntyre, Stuart (Co-investigator) De Polis, Andrea (Research Co-investigator) Hauzenberger, Niko (Research Co-investigator) Koop, Gary (Research Co-investigator) Wu, Ping (Research Co-investigator)
 - 01-Jan-2023 - 31-Jan-2028
 - Macroeconomic Forecasting in Turbulent Times
 - Koop, Gary (Principal Investigator)
 - 01-Jan-2010 - 30-Jan-2013
 - REGIME-SWITCHING AND STRUCTURAL BREAKS IN CO-INTEGRATED MACROECONOMIC MODELS
 - Koop, Gary (Principal Investigator)
 - 01-Jan-2007 - 30-Jan-2010