
Professor George Wright
Management Science
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Area of Expertise
Working with many public and private-sector organisations in order to aid managers to think about the future and make decisions in the present.
Qualifications
BSc Psychology (London University)
MPhil Psychology (Brunel University)
PhD Psychology (Brunel Unversity)
DSc (Warwick University)
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Publications
- Preparing for the future : development of an 'antifragile' methodology that complements scenario planning by omitting causation
- Derbyshire James, Wright George
- Technological Forecasting and Social Change Vol 82, pp. 215-225 (2014)
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.07.001
- Augmenting the Intuitive Logics scenario planning method for a more comprehensive analysis of causation
- Derbyshire James, Wright George
- International Journal of Forecasting Vol 33, pp. 254-266 (2017)
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2016.01.004
- Promoting articulated action from diverse stakeholders in response to public policy scenarios : a case analysis of the use of 'scenario improvisation' method
- Cairns George, Wright George, Fairbrother Peter
- Technological Forecasting and Social Change Vol 103, pp. 97-108 (2016)
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.10.009
- Teaching scenario planning : lessons from practice in academe and business
- Wright George, Cairns George, Goodwin P
- European Journal of Operational Research Vol 194, pp. 323-335 (2009)
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2007.12.003
- The critical role of history in scenario thinking : augmenting causal analysis within the intuitive logics scenario development methodology
- Bradfield Ronald, Derbyshire James, Wright George
- Futures Vol 77, pp. 56-66 (2016)
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2016.02.002
- A decision-analysis-based framework for analyzing stakeholder behaviour in scenario planning
- Cairns George, Goodwin Paul, Wright George
- European Journal of Operational Research Vol 249, pp. 1050-1062 (2016)
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.07.033
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Teaching
I teach scenario thinking within the "Exploring the International Business Envionment" MBA course component.
I also teach a course entitled "Improving management decision making" - which is a mix of the psychology of decision making and decision analysis techniques
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Research Interests
I research in the area of scenario thinking and behavioural decision making. Some of my work is laboratory-based and some within organisations.
Professional Activities
- Member NATO Panel on "Prediction and Intelligence Analysis"
- Recipient
- 23/11/2022
- Scenario Planning and Foresight 2018
- Participant
- 2018
- External Examiner, MSc Decision Sciences, LSE
- Examiner
- 2018
- Regional Scenarios for Scotland: supply and demand for energy
- Consultant
- 2018
- Futures & Foresight Science (Journal)
- Peer reviewer
- 2017
- Scenario Thinking
- Speaker
- 2017
Projects
- Design HOPES (Healthy Organisations in a Place-based Ecosystem, Scotland)
- Rodgers, Paul (Principal Investigator) Dragojlovic-Oliveira, Sonja (Co-investigator) Galloway, Stuart (Co-investigator) Inns, Tom (Co-investigator) Tapinos, Efstathios (Co-investigator) Wodehouse, Andrew (Co-investigator) Wright, George (Co-investigator)
- 01-Jan-2023 - 30-Jan-2025
- Technology Innovation in Defence-platform Energy-efficiency
- Turan, Osman (Principal Investigator) Aktas, Batuhan (Co-investigator) Atlar, Mehmet (Co-investigator) Barlow, Euan (Co-investigator) Boulougouris, Evangelos (Co-investigator) Jennett, Kyle (Co-investigator) Paton, Steve (Co-investigator) Revie, Matthew (Co-investigator) Seth, Sampan (Co-investigator) Tapinos, Efstathios (Co-investigator) Theotokatos, Gerasimos (Co-investigator) Walls, Lesley (Co-investigator) Wright, George (Co-investigator)
- 01-Jan-2023 - 30-Jan-2026
- Nunavut Search and Rescue (NSAR) Project: Supporting Inuit Health and Well-Being, Food Security, Economic Development, and Community Resilience
- Quigley, John (Principal Investigator) Howick, Susan (Co-investigator) Walls, Lesley (Co-investigator) Wright, George (Co-investigator)
- 06-Jan-2022 - 05-Jan-2025
- scenarios for SSE
- Wright, George (Principal Investigator)
- 10-Jan-2018 - 15-Jan-2018
- Bayesian ARgumentation via Delphi
- Belton, Ian (Co-investigator) Bolger, Fergus (Principal Investigator) Crawford, Megan Michelle (Co-investigator) Hamlin, Iain (Co-investigator) MacDonald, Alice (Co-investigator) Rowe, Gene (Principal Investigator) Sissons, Aileen (Co-investigator) Taylor Browne Lūka, Courtney (Co-investigator) Vasilichi, Alexandrina (Co-investigator) Wright, George (Principal Investigator)
- BARD was a 23-month project funded by the US Government Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) and formed part of the larger Crowdsourcing Evidence, Argumentation, Thinking and Evaluation – “CREATE” – program. In BARD, we designed and produced Graphical User Interfaces (GUIs) to assist in the construction of Causal Bayesian Networks (CBNs) as the underlying engines for the analysis of arguments and evidence. BARD thus allows analysts to build and test competing or complementary arguments, and to examine the impact of different pieces of evidence, in an intuitive environment. BARD makes use of the Delphi technique – an iterative survey method that minimizes negative effects of cognitive and social biases – to manage the interaction between users.
In addition to the Delphi Team based in Strathclyde, BARD also consisted of teams based in London (UCL and Birkbeck) – who are experts on the psychology of causal reasoning – and in Melbourne, Australia (Monash University) – who are expert in CBNs and software engineering.
IARPA - https://www.iarpa.gov/
CREATE - https://www.iarpa.gov/index.php/research-programs/create - 01-Jan-2017 - 30-Jan-2018
- Exploring the International Business Environment
- Crawford, Megan Michelle (Visiting Academic) Wright, George (Principal Investigator)
- An extended workshop learning the techniques of the intuitive logics method of scenario planning. Exploring the International Business Environment aims to help students understand and become comfortable with the inherent ambiguity and uncertainty in the contextual (or macro) environment where the irreducible uncertainties lie and which impacts all organisations but which they essentially have no control over; this is distinct from the stakeholder or internal environments of organisations over which they have varying degrees of control.
- 26-Jan-2016 - 07-Jan-2016