Professor George Wright

Management Science

Personal statement

George Wright PhD, ScD. 

I previously held academic positions at Leeds University Business School, London Business School, Strathclyde Graduate Business School (where I was Deputy and Acting Director), Durham Business School (where I was Head of the Department of Business and Management) and Warwick Business School (where I was Associate Dean for Executive Education and a member of the Senior Management Team). I was awarded a higher doctorate, Doctor of Science, by Warwick University in 2013. 

I teach "Exploring the International Business Environment" on the Full-Time MBA Programme. This course is part of the Strategy spine of the Strathcyde MBA - which was rated as the fifth highest quality in the world in the Financial Times'  January 25th 2016 ratings of Global MBA offerings. I was presented with a Teaching Excellence award for my teaching at a Strathclyde Students' Association ceremony in May 2016.

I have undertaken a wide range of consultancy and workshop-based assignments in scenario thinking and decision analysis. I have also designed and delivered management development workshops on decision making, scenario thinking, and strategic analysis, for a variety of public and private sector organizations across the world. 

I worked at directorate level within the UK Government Department of Health with scenario thinking and Delphi applications. For a video of this work see: Recently, I worked with Bayer CropScience on food supply issues using scenarios. Another of my current scenario projects, funded by the Australian Research Council, utilises a new scenario method - developed with George Cairns - to aid senior members of the regional government, union leaders, business leaders and industrialists develop policy for regeneration priorities within Tasmania.  A recent project provided training/advice on use of the Delphi technique to the European Union Agency for Fundamental Rights.

My books include "Scenario Thinking: Preparing your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World" (Palgrave Macmillan, 2017, co-authored), "Scenario Thinking: Practical Approaches to the Future" (Palgrave Macmillan, 2011, co-authored), "Decision Analysis for Management Judgment" (5th Edition, Wiley, 2014, co-authored), "Strategic Decision making: A best practice blueprint" (Wiley, 2001), and "The Sixth Sense: Accelerating Organizational Learning with Scenarios" (Wiley, 2002, co-authored). 

I am a half-time professor at Strathclyde Business School and a member of the adjunct faculty at Mannheim Business School. I hold an honorary professor post at RMIT University, Australia, and I am an Associate Fellow at Warwick Business School. I am external examiner for the MSc in Management Science/Decision Science/ at the London School of Economics. 

Research interests 

I research into the role and quality of management judgment in decision making and in anticipating the future. Are such judgments well-made or are there pitfalls and flaws? In fact, sometimes judgment is flawed and decision aiding techniques - such as scenario thinking and decision analysis can be utilised to improve judgment and decision making. I lead a US National Intelligence Agency project on group-based judgment that starts in January 2017 - and will bring an income of £2.6 million to Strathclyde Business School over a three-phase four-and-a-half year period.

I am the founding Editor-in-Chief of Journal of Behavioral Decision Making. Several recent Nobel prizewinners in Economic Sciences have published within the pages of JBDM and the 2017 Nobel prizewinner, Richard Thaler, published his eighth most-cited journal article in JBDM. The journal has a current Impact Factor (Thomson-Reuters) of 2.768 - which ranks it as number twelve of the world's best applied psychology journals. I am also a Senior Editor of the journal Decision Support Systems and an Associate Editor of two forecasting Journals: International Journal of Forecasting and Journal of Forecasting. I am to be Editor-in-Chief of the new-start Wiley journal, Futures & Foresight Science, from 2018.

My publications have appeared in a range of US-based management journals - including Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Management Science, Risk Analysis and the Strategic Management Journal. In Europe, I have published in journals such as Journal of Management Studies, Organization Studies, and European Journal of Operational Research. 

I have edited special issues of Futures, International Journal of Forecasting, and Technological Forecasting and Social Change on the topics of Delphi methodology, scenario methodology, and group-based judgmental forecasting. 

My publications have accumulated over 13,000 citations in the Google Scholar database and my h-index is 51.



Has expertise in:

    Working with many public and private-sector organisations in order to aid managers to think about the future and make decisions in the present.


BSc Psychology (London University)

MPhil Psychology (Brunel University)

PhD Psychology (Brunel Unversity)

DSc (Warwick University)


Making scenario interventions matter : exploring issues of power and rationality
Cairns George, Wright George
Futures & Foresight Science (2018)
Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems : pitfalls and potential
Wright George, Cairns George, O'Brien Frances, Goodwin Paul
European Journal of Operational Research (2018)
Scenario Thinking : Preparing Your Organization for the Future in an Unpredictable World
Cairns George, Wright George
Enhancing horizon scanning by utilizing pre-developed scenarios : analysis of current practice and specification of a process improvement to aid the identification of important 'weak signals'
Rowe Emily, Wright George, Derbyshire James
Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2017)
Improving scenario methodology - theory and practice : Introduction to the special issue
Wright George, Meadows Maureen, Tapinos Stathis, O'Brien Frances, Pyper Neil
Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2017)
‘Branching scenarios’ seeking articulated action for regional regeneration – a case study of limited success
Cairns George, Wright George, Fairbrother Peter, Phillips Richard
Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2017)

more publications


I teach scenario thinking within the "Exploring the International Business Envionment" MBA course component.

I also teach a course entitled "Improving management decision making" - which is a mix of the psychology of decision making and decision analysis techniques

Research interests

I research in the area of scenario thinking and behavioural decision making. Some of my work is laboratory-based and some within organisations.

Professional activities

Scenario Planning and Foresight 2018
Regional Scenarios for Scotland: supply and demand for energy
External Examiner, MSc Decision Sciences, LSE
Scenario Thinking
Futures & Foresight Science (Journal)
Peer reviewer
Elsevier (Publisher)
Peer reviewer

more professional activities


Exploring the International Business Environment
Grime, Megan Michelle (Visiting Academic) Wright, George (Principal Investigator)
An extended workshop learning the techniques of the intuitive logics method of scenario planning. Exploring the International Business Environment aims to help students understand and become comfortable with the inherent ambiguity and uncertainty in the contextual (or macro) environment where the irreducible uncertainties lie and which impacts all organisations but which they essentially have no control over; this is distinct from the stakeholder or internal environments of organisations over which they have varying degrees of control.
26-Jan-2016 - 07-Jan-2016

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