Strathclyde Business SchoolDepartment of Economics

Does Paid Family Leave Affect Abortion? Evidence from New York
Rory Allanson, Otto Lenhart & Agnese Romiti
24-01

Marijuana Legalization and Mental Health
Daniel Borbely, Otto Lenhart, Jonathan Norris & Agnese Romiti
23-02

The sticking plasters aren’t working: the ongoing UK workforce crisis in adult social care, new evidence from an expansive database of job advertisements
Julia Darby, Stuart McIntyre & Graeme Roy
23-01

The Effects of Compulsory Schooling on Health and Hospitalization over the Life Cycle
Markus Gehrsitza & Morgan C. Williams
23-03

Bayesian Inference in High-Dimensional Time-varying Parameter Models using Integrated Rotated Gaussian Approximations
Florian Huber, Gary Koop & Michael Pfarrhfer
23-04

Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-varying Parameter Regressions using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods
Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber & Gary Koop
23-05

Investigating Economic Uncertainty Using Stochastic Volatility in Mean VARs: The Importance of Model Size, Order-Invariance and Classification
Sharada Nia Davidson, Chenghan Hou & Gary Koop
23-06

Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model
Todd E. Clarka, Florian Huberb, Gary Koopc, Massimiliano Marcellinod & Michael Pfarrhoferb
23-07

Bayesian Modelling of TVP-VARs Using Regression Trees
Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Gary Koop & James Mitchell
23-08

Fast and Order-invariant Inference in Bayesian VARs with Non-Parametric Shocks
Florian Hubera & Gary Koop
23-09

Fast, Order-Invariant Bayesian Inference in VARs using the Eigendecomposition of the Error Covariance Matrix
Ping Wu & Gary Koop
23-10

Incorporating Short Data into Large Mixed-Frequency VARs for Regional Nowcasting
Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell, Aubrey Poon & Ping Wu
23-11

Artificial Intelligence and Regulation: Total Quality Management for Mental Health Services
Nikolaos Danias & Anastasios Koukopoulos
23-12

Commodity Correlation Risk
Joseph P. Byrne and Ryuta Sakemoto
22-11

Conflicting economic policies and mental health: evidence from the UK national living wage and benefits freeze
Lateef Akanni, Otto Lenhart and Alec Morton
22-10

The interaction of scale economies and energy quality
David Comerford
22-09

Revisiting The Effect of the Affordable Care Act Medicaid Expansion on Migration
Laura Connolly, Matt Hampton, Otto Lenhart
22-08

Rurality, socio-economic disadvantage and educational mobility: a Scottish case study
Daniel Borbely, Markus Gehrsitz, Stuart McIntyre, Gennaro Rossi, Graeme Roy
22-07

The “Heroic Journey”: Managing the pedagogy and development of Business Studies teachers
Nikolaos Danias
22-06

Does the Provision of Universal Free School Meals Improve School Attendance and Behaviour?
Daniel Borbely, Markus Gehrsitz, Stuart McIntyre and Gennaro Rossi
22-05

Piero Sraffa – Doing ‘History in Reverse’
Eric Rahim
22-04

International Student Applications in the United Kingdom After Brexit
Catalina Amuedo-Dorantes and Agnese Romiti
22-03

What can analysis of 49 million job advertisements tell us about how opportunities for homeworking are evolving in the UK?
Julia Darby, Stuart McIntyre and Graeme Roy
22-02

A Child’s Guide to Energy Intensity and Energy Efficiency
Gioele Figus & Kim Swales
22-01

Spatial Spillover Effects of Conflict: Propagation through Food Prices in Somalia
Marco Alfano & Thomas Cornelissen
21-08

Forced Migration and Local Economic Development: Evidence from Postwar Hungary
Daniel Borbely & Ross Mckenzie
21-07

A Unified Framework to Estimate Macroeconomic Stars
Saeed Zaman
21-06

Does a Spoonful of Sugar Levy Help the Calories Go Down?
An Analysis of the UK Soft Drinks Industry Levy
Alex Dickson, Markus Gehrsitz and Jonathan Kemp
21-05

Peer Gender and Schooling: Evidence from Ethiopia
Daniel Borbely, Jonathan Norris and Agnese Romiti
21-04

Divergent Integration
Jan I. Haaland, Ian Wooton
21-03

School Performance, Noncognitive Skills and House Prices
Rossi Gennaro
21-02

Nowcasting ‘True’ Monthly US GDP During the Pandemic
Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre, James Mitchell and Aubrey Poon
21-01

Assessing the Impact of Chinas Aid on the World Bank Conditionality
Shazmeen Maroof
20-17

Quantifying socioeconomic inequality in childhood obesity
Justus Laugwitz, Mark Mitchell and Patricio Valdivieso Massa
20-16

Real-time density nowcasts of US inflation:  a model-combination approach
Edward S Knotek and Saeed Zaman
20-15

Rent dissipation in share contests
Alex Dickson, Ian MacKenzie and Petros Sekeris
20-14

The economic impact of projected affordable housing developments:  does the supply side matter?
Stephen Boyle, Kevin Connolly, Peter G McGregor and Mairi Spowage
20-13

Perceived temperature, trust and civil unrest in Africa
Gabriel Aboyadana and Marco Alfano
20-12

Cross-occupational effects of immigration on native wages in the UK
Marco Alfano, Ross McKenzie and Graeme Roy
20-11

The macroeconomic impacts of a universal basic income:  an application to Scotland
Kevin Connolly, David Eiser, Ashwin Kumar, Peter G McGregor and Graeme Roy
20-10

Growth incentives and devolved fiscal systems
Katerina Lisenkova, Alastair Greig, Peter G McGregor, Graeme Roy, J Kim Swales
20-09

Success in sectoral export promotion and economic and environmental indicators:  a multisectoral modelling analysis
Grant J Allan, Christos Barkoumas, Andrew G Ross and Ashank Sinha
20-08

The effect of changes in alcohol tax differentials on alcohol consumption
Markus Gehrsitz, Henry Saffer and Michael Grossman
20-07

The long-run effects of peers on mental health
Lukas Kiessling and Jonathan Norris
20-06

The skill development of children of immigrants
Marie Hll and Jonathan Norris
20-05

The impact of housing subsidy cuts on the labour market outcomes of claimants: evidence from England
Daniel Borbely
20-04

Islamic law and investments in children: evidence from the Sharia introduction in Nigeria
Marco Alfano
20-03

Nicolas Kaldor, increasing returns and Verdoorn's law
Ramesh Chandra and Roger Sandilands
20-02

Permit markets with political and market distortions
Alex Dickson and Ian A MacKenzie
20-01

Is heightened political uncertainty priced in stock returns?  Evidence from the 2014 Scottish independence referendum
Julia Darby, Jun Gao, Siobhan Lucey and Sheng Zhu
19-13

Institutional trading in volatile markets:  Evidence from Chinese stock markets
Julia Darby, Hai Zhang and Jinkai Zhang
19-12

Economic activity supported by offshore wind: a hypothetical extraction study
Grant Allan, Kevin Connolly, Peter McGregor and Andrew Ross
19-11

Economic and environmental impacts of UK offshore wind development to 2029:  the importance of local content
Grant Allan, David Comerford, Kevin Connolly, Peter McGregor and Andrew Ross
19-10

Developing an electricity satellite account (EISA):  an application to Scotland, UK
Grant Allan, Kevin Connolly and Stuart McIntyre
19-09

Identity economics, social influence and skill develoment
Jonathan Norris
19-08

Ghana’s new national income data series:  follow-up to M Huq and M Tribe’s The economy of Ghana:  50 years of economic development (Palgrave Macmillan, 2018)
Michael Tribe and Mozammel Huq
19-07

Troubled in school:  does maternal involvement matter for adolescents?
Jonathan Norris and Martijn van Hasselt
19-06

The economic impacts of UK labour productivity-enhancing industrial po9licies and their spillover effects on the energy system
Andrew G Ross, Grant Allan, Gioele Figus, Peter G McGregor, Graeme Roy, J Kim Swales and Karen Turner
19-05

Terrorism, education, and the role of expectations:  evidence from al-Shabaab attacks in Kenya
Marco Alfano and Joseph Simon Gorlach
19-04

Market size, product differentiation and bidding for new varieties
Jie Ma and Ian Wooton
19-03

'Til insurance do us part:  the effect of the affordable care act preexisting conditions provision on marriage
J Matthew Hampton and Otto Lenhart
19-02

Peers, parents and attitudes about school
Jonathan Norris
19-01

The economic impacts of UK fiscal policies and their spillover effects on the energy systemAndrew Ross, Grant Allan, Gioele Figus, Peter G McGregor, Graeme Roy, J Kim Swales and Karen Turner
18-20

The role of markets and preferences on resource conflicts
Alex Dckson, Ian A MacKenzie and Petros G Sekeris
18-19

Incorporating CO2 emissions into macroeconomic models through primary energy use
Grant Allan, Kevin Connolly, Andrew G Ross and Peter McGregor
18-18

Limiting the distortionary impacts of transaction taxes:  Scottish stamp duty after the Mirrlees Review.
Daniel Borbely
18-17

A case study on Germany's aviation tax using the synthetic control approach
Daniel Borbely
18-16

A theoretical note on:  assymmetries in intensity and persistence of reciprocity in labour markets
Marco Fongoni
18-15

An appraisal of Friedman's positively sloped Phillips Curve conjecture
Rod Cross
18-14

On the longrun Phillips Curve genus
Rod Cross
18-13

Drink, death and driving:  do BAC limit reductions improve road safety?
Benjamin Cooper, Markus Gehrsitz and Stuart G McIntyre
18-12

The characteristics of energy employment in a system-wide context
Grant J Allan and Andrew G Ross
18-11

The economic impacts of UK trade-enhancing industrial policies and their spillover effects on the energy system
Andrew G Ross, Grant Allan, Gioele Figus, Peter McGregor, Graeme Roy, J Kim Swales and Karen Turner
18-10

Workers' reciprocity and the (ir)relevance of wage cyclicality for the volatility of job creation
Marco Fongoni
18-09

Towards incorporating natural capital into a computable general equilibrium model for Scotland
Grant Allan, David Comerford and Peter McGregor
18-08

The system-wide impact of healthy eating:  assessing emissions and economic impacts at the regional level
Grant Allan, David Comerford and Peter McGregor
18-07

Exploring households' responsiveness to energy price changes using microdata
Stuart McIntyre
18-06

UK regional nowcasting using a mixed frequency vector autoregressive model
Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre and James Mitchell
18-05

The importance of energy price stickiness and real wage inflexibility for the time paths of reboud effects
Gioele Figus, Peter G McGregor, J Kim Swales and Karen Turner
18-04

Is personality endogenous?  Evidence from Ireland
Irene Mosca and Robert E Wright
18-03

Can vehicle efficiency beat fuel efficiency in cutting fuel use?
Gioele Figus and Kim Swales
18-02

Framing policy on low emissions vehicles in terms of economic gains:  might the most straightforward gain be delivered by supply chain activity to support refuelling?
Oluwafisayo Alabi, John Irivne, Martin Smith and Karen Turner
18-01

Albert Hirschman, Lauchlin Currie, 'linkages' theory, and Paul Rosenstein Rodan's 'big push'
Roger Sandilands
17-17

The rise of meritocracy and the inheritance of advantage
David Comerford, Jose V Rodriguez Mora and Michael J Watts
17-16

The gains from economic integration
David Comerford and Jose V Rodriguez Mora
17-15

The carbon bubble:  climate policy in a fire-sale model of deleveraging
David Comerford and Alessandro Spiganti
17-14

Is the prodution function Translog or CES?  An empirical illustration using UK data
Elena Lagomarsino and Karen Turner
17-13

Marx - from Hegel and Feuerbach to Adam Smith@  a new sysnthesis
Eric Rahim
17-12

The long-term economic implications of Brexit for Scotland:  an interregional analysis
Gioele Figus, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor, Graeme Roy and Kim Swales 
17-11

Working, volunteering and mental health in the later years
Irene Mosca and Robert E Wright
17-10

Maternal employment and child outcomes:  evidence from the Irish marriage bar
Irene Mosca, Vincent O'Sullivan and Robert E Wright
17-09

Disaggregation of the 2010 UK social accounting matrix to report household income quintiles
Antonios Katris, Gioele Figus, Karen Turner
17-08

The impact of enhanced regional fiscal autonomy:  towards a Scandinavian model for Scotland?
Tobias Emonts-Holley, Alastair Greig, Patrizio Lecca, Kasterina Lisenkova, Peter G McGregor, J Kim Swales
17-07

Political uncertainty and stock market volatility:  new evidence from the 2014 Scottish Independence Referendum
Julia Darby and Graeme Roy
17-06

Can a reduction in fuel use result from an endogenous technical progress in motor vehicles:  a partial and general equilibrium analysis
Gioele Figus, J Kim Swales, Karen Turner
17-05

Cost efficiency analysis of public higher education institutions in Uzbekistan
Shukhrat Kholmuminov and Robert E Wright
17-04

Resource dependence analysis of public higher education institutions in Uzbekistan
Shukhrat Kholmuminov, Shayzak Kholmuminov, Robert E Wright
17-03

Energy efficiency as an instrument of regional development policy?  Trading-off the benefits of an economic stimulus and energy rebound effects
Gioele Figus, Patrizio Lecca, Peter McGregor and Karen Turner
17-02

Multiple-aggregate games
Alex Dickson
17-01

Making the case for supporting broad energy efficiency programmes:  impacts on household incomes and other economic benefits
Gioele Figus, Karen Turner, Peter McGregor, Antonios Katris
16-16


Making the case for supporting broad energy efficiency programmes:  impacts on household incomes and other economic benefits
Gioele Figus, Karen Turner, Peter McGregor, Antonios Katris

The impact of population ageing on public debt
A panel data analysis for 18 European countries
Nicolas Afflatet
16-15

Financial literacy and political orientation in Great Britain
Alberto Montagnoli, Mirko Moro, Georgios A Panos, Robert E Wright
16-14

Adam Smith and the labour theory of value:  an unconvincing "reconsideration"
Roy Grieve
16-13

Physical water use and water sector activity in environmental input-output analysis
Oluwafisayo Alabi, Max Munday, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
16-12

Height and cognition at older age:  Irish evidence
Irene Mosca and Robert E Wright
16-11

The impact of micro-credit on employment:  evidence from Bangladesh and Pakistan
Azhar Kahn, Twyeafur Rahman and Robert E Wright
16-10

The welfare impacts of discriminatory price tariffs
Nikolaos Danias and J Kim Swales
16-09

"Contests with general preferences"
Alex Dickson, Ian A MacKenzie and Petros Sekeris
16-08

Double trouble:  modern misreadings of Cantillon
Roy Grieve
16-07

Nowcasting UK GDP during the depression
Paul Smith
16-06

Financial literacy and attitudes to redistribution
Alberto Montagnoli, Mirko Moro, Georgios A Panos, Robert E Wright
16-05

Use it or lose it:  Irish evidence
Irene Mosca and Robert E Wright
16-04

"Drop the dead donkey":  A response to Steven Kates on the subject of Mill's fourth proposition on capital
Roy H Grieve
16-03

Strategic trade in pollution permits
Alex Dickson and Ian A MacKenzie
16-02

Price flexibility and full employment: barking up the wrong (neoclassical) tree
Roy H Grieve
16-01

Revisiting Cantillon's admirable theory of distribution and value
Roy H Grieve
15-06

A theory of wage setting behaviour
Marco Fongoni and Alex Dickson
15-05

Type II errors in IO multipliers
Tobias Emonts-Holley, Andrew Ross and J Kim Swales
15-04

International aid to Tanzania - with some comparisons from Ghana and Uganda
Michael Tribe
15-03

Debunking Mill's "Fourth fundamental proposition on capital"
Roy H Grieve
15-02

Human capital in economic development:  from labour productivity to macroeconomic impact
Kristinn Hermannsson and Patrizio Lecca
15-01

Nowcasting Scottish GDP Growth
Grant Allan, Gary Koop, Stuart McIntyre and Paul Smith
14-11

The convenient calculation of some test statistics in models of discrete choice
Darryl Holden and Roger Perman
14-10

Large Bayesian VARMAs
Joshua C C Chan, Eric Eisenstat, and Gary Koop
14-09 

Model uncertainty in panel vector autoregressive models
Gary Koop and Dimitris Korobilis
14-08   

The known unknowns of governmance
Rodolphe Desbordes and Gary Koop
14-07 

The impacts of temporary and anticipated tourism spending
Grant J Allan, Patrizio Lecca and Kim Swales
14-06 

An empirical examination of the R&D boundaries of the firm - a problem-solving perspective
Shaopeng Huang and Darryl Holden
14-05 

How much does a single graduation cohort from further education colleges contribute to an open regional economy?
Kristinn Hermannsson, Patrizio Lecca and Kim Swales
14-04

Fact and fictions in FX arbitrage processes
Rod Cross and Victor Kozyakin
14-03

Unemployment:  natural rate epicycles of hysteresis?
Rod Cross
14-02

'Right back where we started from':  'the Classics' to Keynes, and back again
Roy H Grieve

FDI, trade costs and regional assymetries
Julia Darby, Ben Ferrett and Ian Wooton
13-27

Competition for FDI and profit shifting:  on the effects of subsidies and tax breaks
Oscar Amerighi and Giuseppe De Feo
13-26

Mafia in the ballot box
Giuseppe De Feo and Giacomo De Luca
13-25

QWERTY and the search for optimality
Neil M Kay
13-24

Did Keynes in the General Theory significantly misrepresent J S Mill?
Roy H Grieve
13-23

UK houseprices:  convergence clubs and spillovers
Alberto Montagnoli and Jun Nagayasu
13-22

Currency forecast errors at times of low interest rates:  evidence from survey data on the Yen/Dollar exchange rate
Ronald McDonald and Jun Nagayasu
13-21

Personal indebtedness, community characteristics and theft crimes
Stuart G McIntyre
13-20

An issue with own-rates:  Keynes borrows from Sraffa, Sraffa criticises Keynes, and present-day commentators get hold of the wrong end of the stick
Roy H Grieve
13-19

Co-movements in real effective exchange rates:  evidence from the dynamic hierarchical factor model
Jun Nagayasu
13-18

The forward premium puzzle and the Euro
Jun Nagayasu
13-17

An investigation of housing affordability in the UK regions
Alberto Montagnoli and Jun Nagayasu
13-16

Local consumption and territorial based accounting for CO2 emissions
Kristinn Hermannsson and Stuart G McIntyre
13-15

Consumption expenditure in economic impact studies:  an application to university students
Kristinn Hermannsson, Peter G McGregor, J Kim Swales
13-14

Institutions and prosperity
Colin Jennings
13-13

"How do technical change and technological distance influence the size of the Okun's Law coefficient?"
Jean-Philippe Boussemart, Walter Briec, Roger Perman, Christophe Tavera
13-12

Okun's Law - A meta analysis
Roger Perman, Gaetan Stephan, Christophe Tavera
13-11

Lock in, path dependence, and the internationalization of QWERTY
Neil M Kay
13-10

Aid and Development: Issues and Reflections
Michael Tribe
13-09

The Added Value from a General Equilibrium Analyses of Increased Efficiency in Household Energy Use
Patrizio Lecca, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
13-08

A New Index of Financial Conditions
Gary Koop and Dimitris Korobilis
13-07

On Cobb-Douglas Preferences in Bilateral Oligopoly
Alex Dickson
13-06  

Beyond Intermediates: The Role of Consumption and Commuting in the Construction of Local Input-Output Tables
Kristinn Hermannsson
13-05

Nearer to Sraffa than Marx: Adam Smith on Productive and Unproductive Labour
Roy Grieve
13-04

Using VARs and TVP-VARs with Many Macroeconomic Variables
Gary Koop
13-03

Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time-Varying Parameter Regression Models
Miguel Belmonte and Gary Koop
13-02

Domestic Violence and Football in Glasgow: Are Reference Points Relevant?
Alex Dickson, Colin Jennings and Gary Koop
13-01

Still more on why we should bury the marginal productivity theory of the price of capital: A supplementary note
Roy Grieve
12-15

Evaluating the usefulness of forecasts of relative growth
Grant Allan
12-14

The Impact of Population Ageing on the Labour Market: Evidence from Overlapping Generations Computable General Equilibrium (OLG-CGE) Model of Scotland (*)
Katerina Lisenkova, Marcel Mérette and Robert Wright
12-13

Rationalising ''Irrational'' Support for Political Violence
Colin Jennings
12-12

Fact and Fiction in FX Arbitrage Processes
Rod Cross and Victor Kozyakin
12-11

North Sea Oil and Genuine Saving in the Scottish Economy
Greg Bremner and Rod Cross
12-10

Personal Indebtedness, Spatial Effects and Crime
Stuart McIntyre and Donald Lacombe
12-09

An Analysis of the Electoral Use of Policy on Law and Order by New Labour
Stephen Drinkwater & Colin Jennings
12-08

The Impact of Population Ageing on House Prices: A Micro-simulation Approach
Yu Chen, Kenneth Gibb, Chris Leishman and Robert Wright
12-07

Marx: From Hegel and Feuerbach to Adam Smith
Eric Rahim
12-06

Rebellion against Reason? A Study of Expressive Choice and Strikes
Christa N. Brunnschweiler, Colin Jennings and Ian A. MacKenzie
12-05

The system-wide impacts of the external benefits to higher education on the Scottish economy: An exploratory “micro-to-macro” approach
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Patrizio Lecca, Peter G McGregor and J Kim Swales
12-04

The Marginal Productivity Theory of the Price of Capital: An Historical Perspective on the Origins of the Codswallop
Roy Grieve
12-03

A New Model of Trend Inflation
Joshua Chan, Gary Koop and Simon Potter
12-02

A Bayesian Spatial Individual Effects Probit Model of the 2010 U.K. General Election
Christa Jensen, Donald Lacombe and Stuart McIntyre
12-01

Time Variation in the Dynamics of Worker Flows: Evidence from the US and Canada
Michele Campolieti, Deborah Gefang and Gary Koop
11-38

Hierarchical Shrinkage in Time-Varying Parameter Models
Miguel Belmonte, Gary Koop and Dimitris Korobilis
11-37

Estimating the Impact on Efficiency of the Adoption of a Voluntary Environmental Standard: An Empirical Study of the Global Copper Mining Industry
Lise Tole and Gary Koop
11-36

Chasing Graduate Jobs?
Irene Mosca and Robert Wright
11-35

Is Graduate Under-employment Persistent? Evidence from the United Kingdom
Irene Mosca and Robert Wright
11-34

Forward Looking and Myopic Regional Computable General Equilibrium Models. How Significant is the Distinction?
Patrizio Lecca, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
11-33

Social Housing Policies in Latin America and Singapore: Lessons for China
Roger Sandilands
11-32

Institutional Quality and FDI to the South
An Analytical Approach
Rodolphe Desbordes, Julia Darby and Ian Wooton
11-31

The regional economic impacts of biofuels: A review of multisectoral modelling techniques and evaluation of applications
Grant Allan
11-30

The Regional Employment Impacts of Renewable Energy Expenditures: The case for modelling
Grant Allan and Michelle Gilmartin
11-29

Regional Policy Spillovers: The National Impact of Demand-Side Policy in an Interregional Model of the UK Economy
Michelle Gilmartin, David Learmonth, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
11-28

Separating Myth from Probability in the Origins and Evolution of QWERTY
Neil Kay
11-27 - UPDATE MARCH 2012


Pension reform in a rapidly ageing country: the case of Ukraine
Katerina Lisenkova
11-26


Regime-Switching Cointegration*
Markus Jochmann and Gary Koop
11-25


The Effects of Agglomeration on Wages: Evidence from the Micro-Level
Bernard Fingleton and Simonetta Longhi
11-24


Rebound Effects from Increased Efficiency in the Use of Energy by UK Households*
Patrizio Lecca, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
11-23


Joint Estimates of Automatic and Discretionary Fiscal Policy for the OECD
Julia Darby and Jacques Melitz
11-22


Bayesian Inference in the Time Varying Cointegration Model
Gary Koop, Roberto Leon-Gonzalez and Rodney W. Strachan
11-21


The Dynamics of UK and US Inflation Expectations
Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop and Simon Potter
11-20


Forecasting Inflation Using Dynamic Model Averaging
Gary Koop and Dimitris Korobilis
11-19


UK Macroeconomic Forecasting With Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?
Gary Koop and Dimitris Korobilis
11-18


Forecasting with Medium and Large Bayesian VARs
Gary Koop
11-17


Time Varying Dimension Models
Joshua C.C Chan, Gary Koop, Roberto Leon-Gonzalez and Rodney W. Strachan
11-16


Technical Appendix To: Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis*
Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop and Simon M. Potter
11-15


Understanding Liquidity and Credit Risks in the Financial Crisis*
Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop and Simon M. Potter
11-14


A Comparison of Forecasting Procedures for Macroeconomic Series: The Contribution of Structural Break Models
Luc Bauwens, Gary Koop, Dimitris Korobilis and Jeroen V.K. Rombouts
11-13


Bayesian Model Averaging in the Instrumental Variable Regression Model*
Gary Koop, Roberto Leon-Gonzalez and Rodney Strachan
11-12


Modelling Breaks and Clusters in the Steady States of Macroeconomic Variables
Joshua C.C. Chan and Gary Koop
11-11


Forecasting the European Carbon Market
Gary Koop and Lise Tole
11-10


Estimating Phillips Curves in Turbulent Times using The ECB's Survey of Professional Forecasters*
Gary Koop and Luca Onorante
11-09

On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models*
Gary Koop, M. Hashem Pesaran and Ron P. Smith
11-08


The Rebound Effect: Some Questions Answered
Maggie Koerth-Baker, Karen Turner, Janine De Fence and Cathy Xin Cui
11-07


The Positive Causal Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Productivity: A Not So Typical Relationship
Rodolphe Desbordes and Vincenzo Verardi
11-06


Multilevel Modelling with Spatial Effects
Luisa Corrado and Bernard Fingleton
11-05


Trade in bilateral oligopoly with endogenous market formation
Alex Dickson and Roger Hartley
11-04

The Expenditure Impacts of Individual Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) and their Students on the Northern Irish Economy: Homogeneity or Heterogeneity?
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
11-03

Regional productivity variation and the impact of public capital stock: an analysis with spatial interaction, with reference to Spain
Miguel Gomez-Antonio and Bernard Fingleton
11-02

Where is the economics in spatial econometrics?
Luisa Corrado and Bernard Fingleton
11-01

The Committee on Climate Change: A policy analysis* 
Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Matthew Winning
10-31

The Expenditure Impacts of London-based Individual Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) and their Students on the Economy of England: Homogeneity or Heterogeneity? 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-30

“Policy Scepticism” and the Impact of London-based Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) on the economy of England: Accounting for Alternative Uses of Public Expenditure 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-29

Disaggregating the Household Sector in a 2004 UK Input Output Table and Social Accounting Matrix by Income Quintiles 
Janine De Fence and Karen Turner
10-28

The Expenditure Impacts of Individual Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) and their Students on the Welsh Economy: Homogeneity or Heterogeneity? 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-27

The Importance of Graduates for the Scottish Economy: A “Micro-to-Macro” Approach 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-26 REVISED MAY 2012


“Policy Scepticism” and the Impact of Northern Irish Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) on their Host Region: Accounting for Regional Budget Constraints 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-25

A Bayesian Spatial Econometric Analysis of the 2010 UK General Election 
Christa D. Jensen, Donald Lacombe and Stuart Mcintyre
10-24

An HEI-Disaggregated Input-Output Table for Northern-Ireland* 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-23

“Policy Scepticism” and the Impact of Welsh Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) on their Host Region: Accounting for Regional Budget Constraints 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-22

An HEI-Disaggregated Input-Output Table for Wales* 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-21

Balanced Budget Government Spending in a Small Open Regional Economy 
Patrizio Lecca, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-20

Periodic Sequences of Arbitrage: A Tale of Four Currencies 
Rod Cross, Victor Kozyakin, Brian O'Callaghan, Alexei Pokrovskii and Alexey Pokrovskiy

The impact of higher education institution-firm knowledge links on establishment-level productivity in British regions 
Richard Harris, Qian Cher Li and John Moffat
10-18

The Impact of Higher Education Institution-Firm Knowledge Links on Firm-level Productivity in Britain 
Richard Harris, Qian Cher Li and John Moffat
10-17

The Expenditure Impacts of Individual Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) and their Students on the Scottish Economy under Devolution: Homogeneity or Heterogeneity? 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-16 REVISED MAY 2012  

“Policy Scepticism” and the Impact of Scottish Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) on their Host Region: Accounting for Regional Budget Constraints under Devolution 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-15 REVISED MAY 2012 

An HEI-Dissaggregated Input-Output Table for Scotland 
Kristinn Hermannsson, Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-14

Inverted Haavelmo Effects in a General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Implementing the Scottish Variable Rate of Income Tax. * 
Patrizio Lecca, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Ya Ping Yin
10-13

Incorporating jurisdiction issues into regional carbon accounts under production and consumption accounting principles 
Christa D. Jensen, Stuart Mcintyre, Max Munday and Karen Turner
10-12

The effects of entry in thin markets
Alex Dickson
10-11   


The regional electricity generation mix in Scotland: A portfolio selection approach
Grant Allan, Igor Eromenko, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
10-10

Memory of Recessions 
Rod Cross, Hugh McNamara and Alexei Pokrovskii
10-09

Hysteresis in the fundamentals of macroeconomics 
Rod Cross, Hugh McNamara, Alexei Pokrovskii and Leonid Kalachev
10-08

On the FDI-Attracting Property of Privatization
Oscar Amerighi and Giuseppe De Feo
10-07

The Export Base Model with a Supply-Side Stimulus to the Export Sector 
Kim Swales and Soo Jung Ha
10-06

Short-Run Strategies For Attracting Foreign Direct Investment*
Celine Azemar and Rodolphe Desbordes

Who Ultimately Bears the Burden of Greater Non-Wage Labour costs?* 
Celine Azemar and Rodolphe Desbordes
10-04 

Does Public Governance Always Matter? How Experience of Poor Institutional Quality Influences FDI to the South* 
Julia Darby, Rodolphe Desbordes and Ian Wooton
10-03*UPDATE*

Official Central Bank Interventions in the Foreign Exchange Markets: A DCC Approach with Exogenous Variables 
Nikolaos Antonakakis
10-02  *UPDATE*

Modeling U.S. Inflation Dynamics: A Bayesian Nonparametric Approach
Markus Jochmann
10-01

The Rebound Effect with Energy Production: A Partial Equilibrium Analysis 
Grant Allan, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
09-25

Responsibility for regional waste generation: A single region extended input-output analysis with uni-directional trade flows 
Christa D. Jensen, Stuart Mcintyre, Max Munday and Karen Turner
09-24

What Belongs Where? Variable Selection for Zero-Inflated Count Models with an Application to the Demand for Health Care 
Markus Jochmann
09-23

Bilateral oligopoly and quantity competition 
Alex Dickson and Roger Hartley
09-22

Harmful competition in the insurance markets
Giuseppe De Feo and Jean Hindriks
09-21

An interregional input-output analysis of the pollution content of trade flows and environmental trade balances between five states in the US Mid-West 
Soo Jung Ha, Geoffrey Hewings and Karen Turner
09-20

Stochastic Search Variable Selection in Vector Error Correction Models with an Application to a Model of the UK Macroeconomy* 
Markus Jochmann, Gary Koop, Roberto Leongonzalez and Rodney W. Strachan
09-19

Expressive Political Behaviour: Foundations, Scope and Implications* 
Alan Hamlin and Colin Jennings
09-18

UK Macroeconomic Forecasting with Many Predictors: Which Models Forecast Best and When Do They Do So?* 
Gary Koop and Dimitris Korobilis
09-17

On Public Inefficiencies in a Mixed Duopoly 
Giuseppe De Feo and Carlo Capuano
09-16

How do improvements in labour productivity in the Scottish economy affect the UK position on the Environmental Kuznets Curve?
Karen Turner and Nick Hanley
09-15

Assessing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks Using Dynamic Factor Models 
Dimitris Korobilis
09-14

Simulating Wages and House Prices Using the NEG* 
Bernard Fingleton
09-13

Analysing the impact of public capital stock using the NEG wage equation: a panel data approach
Bernard Fingleton and Miguel Gomez-Antonio
09-12

THE TEXT BOOK BLACK MAGIC, or, how to make the Keynes theory disappear
Roy H. Grieve
09-11    

Price flexibility and full employment: a common misconception 
Roy H. Grieve
09-10

 
The Good, the Bad and the Populist: A Model of Political Agency with Emotional Voters
Colin Jennings
09-09

Do Productivity Improvements Move Us Along the Environmental Kuznets Curve? 
Karen Turner, Nick Hanley and Janine De Fence
09-08  

Solovian and New Growth Theory from the Perspective of Allyn Young on Macroeconomic Increasing Returns
Roger Sandilands
09-07

An Archival Case Study: Revisiting The Life and Political Economy of Lauchlin Currie 
Roger Sandilands
09-06


New Evidence on Allyn Young’s Style and Influence as a Teacher
Roger Sandilands
09-05

Hawtreyan “Credit Deadlock” or Keynesian “Liquidity Trap”? Lessons for Japan from the Great Depression
Roger Sandilands
09-04

The added value from adopting a CGE approach to analyse changes in environmental trade balances
Karen Turner, Michelle Gilmartin, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
09-03    

Negative rebound and disinvestment effects in response to an improvement in energy efficiency in the UK economy
Karen Turner
09-02

Rebound and disinvestment effects in oil consumption and supply resulting from an increase in energy efficiency in the Scottish commercial transport sector
Sam Anson and Karen Turner
09-01 

Professor Yunus on “social business” and the conquest of poverty: a dissenting view 
Roy Grieve
08-13

The Relative Efficiency of Automatic and Discretionary Industrial Aid* 
Kim Swales
08-12

The Importance of Revenue Sharing for the Local Economic Impacts of a Renewable Energy Project: A Social Accounting Matrix Approach 
Grant Allan, Graham Ault, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
08-11 


Econometric Estimation of Armington import elasticities for regional CGE models of the Chicago and Illinois economies 
Soo Jung Ha, Geoffrey Hewings and Karen Turner
08-10 -REVISED


Intra-Group Competition and Inter-Group Conflict: An Application to Northern Ireland 
Colin Jennings
08-09   


A comparison of results from MRIO and interregional computable general equilibrium (CGE) analyses of the impacts of a positive demand shock on the ‘CO2 trade balance’ between Scotland and the rest of the UK
Michelle Gilmartin, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
08-08


A computable general equilibrium analysis of the relative price sensitivity required to induce rebound effects in response to an improvement in energy efficiency in the UK economy 
Karen Turner
08-07   


'Economic Geometry': Marshall's and other early representations of demand and supply
Roy Grieve
08-06   


Adam Smith's concept of productive and unproductive labour: An Interpretation
Roy Grieve
08-05 - Amended February 2009


Keynes, Sraffa and the emergence of the General Theory: Some Thoughts 
Roy Grieve
08-04   


Civil Conflict, Federalism and Strategic Delegation of Leadership
Colin Jennings and Hein Roelfsema
08-03


Political economics and normative analysis 
Colin Jennings and Iain McLean
08-02


Can Migrants save Greece from Ageing? A Computable General Equilibrium Approach using G-AMOS
Nikos Pappas
08-01

The Concept of Abstract Labour in Adam Smith’s System of Thought+ 
Eric Rahim
07-06   


The National Impact of Regional Policy: Supply-Side Policy Simulation with Labour Market Constraints in a Two-Region Computable General Equilibrium Model 
Michelle Gilmartin, Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
07-05  


The National Impact of Regional Policy: Demand-Side Policy Simulation with Labour Market Constraints in a Two-Region Computable General Equilibrium Model
Michelle Gilmartin, David Learmonth, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
07-04  


The Economic Impact of Regular Season Sporting Competitions: The Glasgow Old Firm Football Spectators as Sports Tourists 
Grant Allan, Stewart Dunlop and Kim Swales 
07-03  


Labor Market Adjustment, social spending and the automatic stabilizers in the OECD
Julia Darby and Jacques Melitz
07-02  


Macroeconomic Impacts of Demographic Change in Scotland: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis
Katerina Lisenkova, Peter McGregor, Nikos Pappas, Kim Swales, Karen Turner and Robert Wright
07-01

Grants versus Tax Sharing: The Extent of Central Government Control
Graeme Roy 
06-05


Concurrent and legacy impacts from establishing a marine energy sector in Scotland: a computable general equilibrium analysis 
Grant Allan, Peter McGregor, Tim Stallard, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
06-04


Putting the Record Straight: Adam Smith, Allyn Young and the Division of Labour 
Roy Grieve (with comments from Ramesh Chandra) 
06-03


The Impact of Alternative Electricity Generation Technologies on the Scottish Economy: An Illustrative Input-Output Analysis* 
Grant Allan, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
06-02


Marx and Schumpeter: A Comparison of their Theories of Development 
Eric Rahim
06-01

Non-discretionary and automatic fiscal policy in the EU and the OECD 
Jacques Melitz
05-03  

Trade costs, trade balances and current accounts: An Application of gravity to multilateral trade 
Giorgio Fazio, Ronald Macdonald and Jacques Melitz
05-02  

Countries, regions and trade: on the welfare impacts of economic integration* 
Kristian Behrens, Carl Gaigne, Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano and Jacques-Francois Thisse
05-01

Policy Spillovers in a Regional Target-Setting Regime* 
David Learmonth and Kim Swales
04-24


Three and Four Region Multi-Sectoral Linear Modelling Using UK Data: Some Preliminary Results 
Grant Allan, Fraser Jamieson, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
04-23   


Construction of a multi-sectoral inter-regional IO and SAM database for the UK*
Grant Allan, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
04-22


The Enviromental 'Trade Balance' between Scotland and the rest of The Uk: An Inter-Regional Input-Output and SAM analysis* 
Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
04-21


The National Impact of Regional Policy: Policy Simulation with Labour Market Constraints in a Two-Region Computable General Equilibrium Model * 
Linda Ferguson, David Learmonth, Peter McGregor, Donald McLellan, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
04-20   


The Information Requirements for an Effective Regional Policy: A Critique of the Allsopp Report * 
Eric McVittie and Kim Swales
04-19


Globalization, tax competition and fiscal equalization 
Carl Gaigne and Stephane Riou
04-18


Estimating Earnings In An Employment Status Model With Banded Data 
Brian Ashcroft, Darryl Holden and Kenneth Low
04-17


Potential Entrepreneurs and the Self-Employment choice decision* 
Brian Ashcroft, Darryl Holden and Kenneth Low
04-16


Fiscal Federalism, Fiscal Consolidations and Cuts in Central Government Grants: Evidence from an Event Study 
Julia Darby, Anton Muscatelli and Graeme Roy
04-15


A cross-country analysis of the Okun’s Law coefficient convergence in Europe 
Roger Perman and Christophe Tavera
04-14


Incorporating sustainability indicators into a computable general equilibrium model of the Scottish economy 
Linda Ferguson, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales, Karen Turner and Ya Ping Yin
04-13


Testing for convergence of the Okun’s Law coefficient in Europe 
Roger Perman and Christophe Tavera
04-12


Saving, Investment and Growth: A Smithian Perspective 
Ramesh Chandra
04-11


Extreme Interdependence and Extreme Contagion Between Emerging Markets 
Giorgio Fazio
04-10


Roncaglia on Sraffa and Wittgenstein: Further Comment 
Roy Grieve
04-09


Attribution of Pollution Generation to Local Private and Public Demands in a Small Open Economy: Results from a SAM-Based Neo-Classical Linear Attribution System for Scotland 
Peter McGregor, Donald McLellan, Karen Turner and Kim Swales
04-08


Price Flexibility and Full Employment: Losing the Plot? 
Roy Grieve
04-07


‘Constrained Discretion’ in UK Monetary and Regional Policy† 
Eric McVittie and Kim Swales
04-06


An Extension and Application of the Leontief Pollution Model for Waste Generation and Disposal in Scotland * 
Grant Allan, Nick Hanley, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
04-05


An Input-Output-Based Alternative to “Ecological Footprints” for Tracking Pollution Generation in a Small Open Economy* 
Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
04-04


Market Mobilised Capital, Legal Rules and Enforcement
Frank Stephen and Stefan Van Hemmen
04-03


Risk sharing and EMU 
Jacques Melitz
04-02


Fiscal Consolidation and Decentralisation: A Tale of Two Tiers 
Julia Darby, Anton Muscatelli and Graeme Roy
04-01

The Economics of Devolution/ Decentralisation in the UK: Some Questions and Answers* 
Peter McGregor and Kim Swales
03-13


International Parity Relationships and a Nonstationary Real Exchange Rate. Germany Versus the US in the Post Bretton
Woods Period 
Katarina Juselius and Ronald MacDonald
03-12


Adam Smith and Competitive Equilibrium 
Ramesh Chandra
03-11


Language and Foreign Trade 
Jacques Melitz
03-10


The Additional Precision Provided by Regional-Specific Data: the Identification of Fuel-Use and Pollution Generation Coefficients in the Jersey Economy1 
Karen Turner
03-09


The Regional Distribution of Public Expenditures in the UK: An Exposition and Critique of the Barnett Formula* 
Linda Ferguson, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
03-08


How Differences in the Expected Marginal Productivity of Capital can Explain the Principal Puzzles in International Macro-Economics 
Nicholas Ford and Graeme Roy
03-07


Regional Policy Evaluation: Ignorance, Evidence and Influence  
Eric McVittie and Kim Swales
03-06


Fatal Attraction: Using Distance to Measure Contagion in Good Times as Well as Bad
Tamim Bayoumi, Giorgio Fazio, Manmohan Kumar and Ronald MacDonald
03-05


The Impact of the Barnett Formula on the Scottish Economy: A General Equilibrium Analysis* 
Linda Ferguson, David Learmonth, Peter McGregor, Kim Swales and Karen Turner
03-04  


Growth and Change in a Region's Knowledge Economy: A Decomposition Analysis
Richard Marsh and Iain McNicoll
03-03


Catching Up: The Role of Demand, Supply and Regulated Price Effects on the Real Exchange Rates of Four Accession Countries
Ronald MacDonald and Cezary Wojcik
03-02


A Re-Examination of the Link Between Real Exchange Rates and Real Interest Rate Differentials
Mathias Hoffman and Ronald MacDonald
03-01